Olympics Highlights

beijing olypics

Rio 2016: opportunities and responsibilities

Lying in a cradle forever beautiful
by the sound of the sea and sky light deep
you shine, Brazil, garland of America
illuminated by the sun of the New World!
Hino Nacional Brasileiro (Brazilian National Anthem)

Brazil certainly has much to boast of the new year is not the least its bid to host the 2016 Olympic Games in Cidade Maravilhosa Rio. Decision International Olympic Committee (IOC) on October 2, 2009, speaks loudly to the international community, indicating the arrival Brazil on the world stage and showing that a developing country has the capacity to interfere in the two games and world championships economy.
The Royal Gold Medal, however, is not the candidate of Brazil their recent gains or economic prowess, "while a rating of investment new grade and shiny and the anticipation of the fifth largest economy in the world in 2016 are impressive results, is that the Games should enable the country to offer a more stable, robust market for long term investment.

Brazil's ability to achieve this objective will depend largely on whether the public and private sectors can work together strategically and with purpose and responsibility. This article suggests that Brazil is taking steps in the right direction, with a market post-Olympics should be more sophisticated and more transparent. Infrastructure development needs will have a multiplier effect on economic growth, with improvements in civil society-making equipment in the country more attractive to the long-term stable investment. Opportunities in commodities, foreign exchange (FX) and the green sector is likely to grow, while Constant improvements in the regulatory system of the country can better protect the market.

The Brazilian model

Key the investment strategy of Brazil for the Games is the integration of financial partners and unique blend of social policy and the economy market. Brazilian Government has allocated 11 billion dollars for infrastructure costs related to the mega-event pending add about $ 51.1 billion to the economy until 2027. The funds are distributed to local sources and the federal government, private, the IOC and multilateral institutions like the World Bank. This superposition of investment and support of the section is good news for investors risk aversion. private sector participation in infrastructure is essential to Brazil to meet its development objectives in time for the Games, as well as previous 2013 Confederations Cup and 2014 World Cup.

Raw materials

With a growth rate of China is skipping a beat Overall on the recession, prices of commodities are back to levels before the GFC. The key indicators of market stabilization include copper, Steel and Baltic Dry Index return to levels recorded in 2007, before the bubble of subprime mortgages began to explode. With the need for raw materials needed to create an infrastructure, these prices will be crucial to assess the economic impact of the nation host. wealth of resources in Brazil will see the source of local materials, and the requirement of massive base metal and an increased need for energy, mining and drilling companies seem ready to go home moments of prosperity. Runs opportunities for investors to ramp up their holdings of local shares. As the government continues to award contracts to local firms, there will be a few small local businesses, anonymity and the necessity of dollars abroad IPOS. Post-Olympics, the Brazilian product is only more attractive to hungry giants China and India. The insatiable demand for 'Chindia' is also likely to boost prices in the near future.

Brazil's ability to source internal resources necessary network can reduce costs associated with infrastructure development, an important factor, especially if expenses over budget, as was the case in China for the Beijing 2008 Olympic Games. In addition, recent discoveries in the local areas of higher pre-salt oil Brazil's ability to finance infrastructure costs more.

Investment in infrastructure is also likely to attract more sophisticated market companies, at the request of Brazil's expertise in strategic planning to provide opportunities for international consultants, developers and contractors.

Exchange

The Brazilian real has been the strongest currency appreciation against the dollar during the past calendar year, winning 33.67% (31/12/1908 to 07/12/2009, Bloomberg). This is partly due to the economy Brazil is one of the last and the first economic recession, however, the "carry trade" also has its own role. With the differential interest rate between Brazil and the United States is becoming increasingly popular for investors short the dollar against the real, that the debt is less expensive on the north side of the Panama Canal and the central bank rates are more than 8%. With the Fed recently indicated its intention to keep interest rates low in the foreseeable future, the popularity of this trade appears to be outstanding, and Royal is expected to continue to strengthen. U.S. shows signs of recovery, and the Central Bank of Brazil (COPOM) unanimously to maintain the current rate of 8.75% at its last meeting. With COPOM citing the easing of monetary policy and the "favorable scenario inflation, the ideal time to invest in Brazil does not seem far. Both that the parity rate, the buffer will always carry trade to give Brazilian investments by small hands.

Alternative Investments

The alternative investment market is likely to become more sophisticated in the near future. This is partly due to the commitment of Brazil to a all green Olympics, the gradual increase spending on environmental programs familiar with the technology and the income from dollars in the green country. As well, the demand for alternative investments have increased due to increased media attention of the powers of the nation world of finance are likely cash and increase its product range to include more "ethical" options.
Brazil is already using the Olympics as a platform to enhance environmental protection and has demonstrated its commitment to "greening" of the Games through various programs. As part of its offer, Rio assigned a Sustainability Olympic Park Division (OSD) to assist in strategic planning of the environment, set objectives of reducing greenhouse gas emissions with pre-and post-game goals, and launched the Zero Carbon 2016. This campaign will see 3 million trees planted in Rio de Janeiro before 2016. Sustainable Investment Solutions still necessary to question the country's water and sewer.

System Regulatory

Brazil's capacity to enjoy the Olympic Games will depend on whether the government can maintain its oversight of investment while leaving private investors actually do things. The greatest success will be determined by the strength of these public-private partnerships, and if the nation does can take to avoid ideological polarization that has disrupted their markets. Similarly, Brazil must continue to erode the layers of bureaucracy slows international investors.

Brazil has certainly advanced in the field of regulation in recent years and its achievements in this document should be recognized. fiscal policy is particularly noteworthy conservative country. The tax on gains leverage foreign investors in late 2008, although not very popular, demonstrated by the Government to be proactive to prevent speculative investments. Tax was conducted in two stages: a 2% tax levied on international stocks and bonds in October, followed by a rebound 1.5% in American Depository Receipts (ADRs) one month later. The last tax was issued to compensate for distortions resulting from investors seeking to circumvent the first tax through the purchase and immediate cancellation of ADRs.

These is unlikely that taxes have an impact negatively on the underlying value of the Brazilian market in the long term. These measures create a tactical decommissioning in reality, and if it can underperform other emerging market currencies in the near future, this will result in Brazil is less likely that the assets of the premium or experience a bubble. The nation's burgeoning middle class, strong exports, improving infrastructure and increasing domestic spending, Games Olympics will increase, providing about 120,000 jobs per year until 2016, increasing the market value. There is much to say about the stability and conservative fiscal policy is a sign of better corporate governance. The rules on the field should allow interesting come election time in October.

Let the games begin …

As the light of the Olympics on Brazil as an investment destination key will be the country's ability to use sound coordination and corporate governance not only to avoid the obvious dangers of overheating and boom previous rounds deep depression, but appears as a leading continental and global economy. Sport and investment are global language They know few boundaries, and together you can set the standard for developing countries to develop their economies and provide an important social value in it. If the Brazilian model of public cooperation fulfills its potential private, the benefits can be economic growth in the short term, but a sea change in corporate culture and international perception.

About the Author

Tessa Albrecht is a Sydney-based Risk Analyst at a leading Australian bank. Tessa holds a degree in International Relations from Bond University, with majors in Spanish and International Business, and previously held the position of Business Development and Marketing Manager at the Spanish Official Chamber of Commerce. Fluent in Spanish, Tessa has a keen interest in Latin America, emerging markets and alternative investment. With thanks to contributing author, Paul Ambrose.

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